Climate change has become increasingly recognized as one of the greatest threats to human well-being, with the potential to undermine development gains and exacerbate existing inequalities. Migration, both internal and external, has increased as a result of climate change, and this is having serious consequences both for the migrants and their countries of origin. Climate-induced migration is one of the most visible and potentially devastating consequences of global warming and has become a major humanitarian and security concern for governments and international organizations. 

Climate change is a pressing issue, with global temperatures rising and extreme weather events becoming more frequent and intense. The UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has determined that greenhouse gas emissions are the primary cause of global warming, and warns that average global temperatures could increase by up to 4.8°C by 2100 if emissions are not reduced. This could have a devastating effect on the environment, with rising sea levels, extreme weather events, and disruptions to agriculture and food supply. The impacts of climate change on migration and displacement are of particular concern. According to a 2018 report by the Internal Displacement Monitoring Centre, over 18 million people were displaced due to climate change-related disasters in 2017 alone. This number is expected to rise as global temperatures continue to climb. Moreover, it is estimated that climate change could displace up to 200 million people by 2050. This displacement could take the form of internal migration, as people move away from coastal zones and regions affected by drought, or it could lead to international migration, as people seek safety in other countries. Internal migration can be seen in countries like Bangladesh, where rising sea levels are slowly eroding away coastal villages and forcing people to move further inland while international migration can be seen in countries like Somalia, where widespread drought and food shortages have led to an exodus of people seeking refuge in other countries. Climate change is also likely to increase the risk of disaster-induced displacement, such as from floods, storms and wildfires. This displacement can cause economic and social disruption, as well as psychological trauma, and is likely to be most severe for already vulnerable populations. As a matter of facts, climate change displacement is expected to disproportionately affect vulnerable communities and countries in the Global South. Studies have found that people with limited resources and access to services are the most likely to be displaced due to climate change. Additionally, small island nations and coastal areas are highly vulnerable to the impacts of sea-level rise, and many of these locations are already experiencing displacement due to climate change. In order to reduce the risk of disaster-induced displacement, it is important to build resilient and adaptive communities, and to develop and implement effective preparedness, response, and recovery measures.

In addition to the direct impacts of climate change, there are also secondary effects that can contribute to migration. These include a decrease in agricultural productivity caused by temperature increases or droughts, which can lead to poverty and displacement. There is also evidence that increased temperatures can lead to increased violence and conflict, which can also lead to phenomena of migrations. Given the potential impacts of climate change on displacement, societies must prepare for and manage the increasing flows of people. This requires coordinated international action to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and mitigate the effects of climate change. Additionally, governments must develop policies and strategies to anticipate and manage the potential displacement of people. This could include the development of early warning systems and mechanisms for responding to displacement, as well as the provision of legal protections for climate migrants. There is also a need to develop more effective ways of supporting and integrating migrants into new societies. This includes policies to facilitate access to services, such as education and healthcare, as well as measures to reduce the risk of exploitation and abuse. Governments should also strive to ensure that migrants are not discriminated against on the basis of their origin or status, and that their rights are respected and upheld. 

In conclusion, the impacts of climate change on migration and displacement are increasingly evident. It is therefore essential that governments and international organizations act swiftly to reduce emissions and mitigate the effects of global warming. Furthermore, they must develop policies and strategies to anticipate and manage potential displacement, and provide support and protection to climate migrants. Only through collective action can we reduce the risks associated with climate-induced migration and displacement, and ensure a safe and secure future for all. 

Image – UN Photo/Tim McKulka

By Ingrid Garosi

Ingrid Garosi is a recent joint master graduate in European Studies at the University of Uppsala and University of Strasbourg. She is a project manager and research advisor in European fundings and European projects at the University of Bologna.

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